PCD logo

Identification of Hypertension Predictors and Application to Hypertension Prediction in an Urban Han Chinese Population: A Longitudinal Study, 2005–2010

ORIGINAL RESEARCH — Volume 12 — October 29, 2015

Print
Related Pages

PEER REVIEWED

Figure 1. Prevalence of hypertension, by age, at baseline, in an urban Han population, China, 2005–2010.

Age, y Hypertension Prevalence, %
Men Women
18 17.91 2.08
19 10.23 0
20 15.44 4.92
21 8.6 0.69
22 12.02 1.78
23 12.46 2.65
24 12.54 2.91
25 12.46 1.27
26 11.47 2.29
27 12.91 2.2
28 13.09 2.44
29 12.45 3.09
30 15.51 2.2
31 14.29 3.05
32 16.94 3.04
33 15.5 2.93
34 17.29 3.17
35 20.71 3.74
36 21.73 3.7
37 17.62 4.38
38 24.19 4.66
39 25.43 4.06
40 27.93 6.99
41 27.77 7.32
42 28.43 8.98
43 30.2 9.79
44 30.46 10.73
45 33.55 13.02
46 35.34 13.72
47 35.13 14.55
48 39.21 18.88
49 35.91 18.22
50 37.45 21.62
51 40.97 24.39
52 41.46 26.11
53 40.85 27.83
54 43.43 32.16
55 43.27 32.58
56 43.24 33.78
57 44.41 41.92
58 49.64 42.96
59 46.72 45.53
60 48.8 45.95
61 48.34 44.26
62 53.5 46.58
63 55 54.62
64 53.31 54.97
65 55.68 53.95
66 58.91 58.79
67 58.59 53.8
68 64.62 53.09
69 62.35 60.38
70 64.94 62.96
71 64.99 68.25
72 63.95 62.41
73 71.99 68.16
74 71.12 70.61
75 71.35 69.83
76 71.97 69.68
77 79.4 67.8
78 74.42 75.42
79 70.62 73.86
80 72.4 68.63
81 64.89 75.61
82 70.68 71.74
83 77.27 58.06
84 70.59 81.82
85 60 68.42

Return to Article

For men: HSP = (0.097345 × body mass index) + (0.045604 × systolic blood pressure) + (0.051722 × diastolic blood pressure) + (0.147807 × fasting blood glucose) + (0.096384 × triglycerides) – (0.00694 × high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) + (0.007746 × hemoglobin) + (0.0022516 × hematocrit) + (0.05383 × white blood cell count) + (0.050579 × lymphocyte count) + (0.074163 × neutrophil granulocyte count) − 71.26765. For women: HSP = (0.114583 × body mass index) + (0.033556 × systolic blood pressure) + (0.045974 × diastolic blood pressure) + (0.118307 × fasting blood glucose) + (0.158433 × triglycerides) – (0.33512 × high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) + (0.017102 × hemoglobin) + (0.065664 × hematocrit) + (0.119985 × white blood cell count) + (0.26673 × lymphocyte count) – (0.111738 × neutrophil granulocyte count) − 66.90516.

Figure 2. The 5-year risk matrix for risk appraisal of hypertension by sex. Graphs A1 and B1 are absolute risk matrices for men and women, respectively; graphs A2 and B2 are relative absolute risk matrices for men and women, respectively. The dashed lines indicate discrimination criteria of absolute risk for predicting hypertension; the curved lines indicate mean absolute risk in the population. Abbreviation: HSP, hypertension synthetic predictor.

Return to Article

Appendix B shows ROC curves for hypertension prediction models, which are represented in the 2 graphs.

Return to Article

Top

Error processing SSI file

The opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors’ affiliated institutions.