Volume
6: No. 2, April 2009
LETTER
Projected Burden of Chronic, Noncommunicable Diseases in Jordan
Population |
Year |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2030 |
2035 |
2040 |
2045 |
2050 |
2004 estimate |
416 |
484 |
519 |
560 |
602 |
642 |
677 |
708 |
736 |
759 |
+0.1 percentage points per year |
416 |
516 |
588 |
672 |
763 |
855 |
948 |
1039 |
1128 |
1215 |
+0.25 percentage points per year |
416 |
565 |
692 |
840 |
1004 |
1176 |
1354 |
1535 |
1717 |
1898 |
+0.5 percentage points per year |
416 |
645 |
865 |
1120 |
1405 |
1711 |
2032 |
2361 |
2699 |
3036 |
Figure 1. Projected population with diabetes mellitus in
Jordan from 2005 to 2050 according to 4 different projected prevalence variants. Figure generated by the authors using data from the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2) and Zindah
et al (5).
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Population |
Year |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2030 |
2035 |
2040 |
2045 |
2050 |
2004 estimate |
821 |
955 |
1025 |
1105 |
1188 |
1266 |
1336 |
1398 |
1452 |
1498 |
+0.1 percentage points per year |
821 |
987 |
1094 |
1217 |
1349 |
1480 |
1607 |
1728 |
1845 |
1953 |
+0.25 percentage points per year |
821 |
1036 |
1198 |
1385 |
1590 |
1801 |
2013 |
2224 |
2434 |
2637 |
+0.5 percentage points per year |
821 |
1116 |
1371 |
1666 |
1991 |
2335 |
2691 |
3051 |
3415 |
3775 |
Figure 2. Projected population with
hypertension in Jordan from 2005 to 2050 according to 4 different projected prevalence variants. Figure generated by the authors using data from the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2) and Zindah
et al (5).
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Population |
Year |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2030 |
2035 |
2040 |
2045 |
2050 |
2004 estimate |
355 |
413 |
443 |
478 |
514 |
547 |
578 |
604 |
628 |
648 |
+0.1 percentage points per year |
355 |
445 |
512 |
590 |
674 |
761 |
849 |
935 |
1021 |
1103 |
+0.25 percentage points per year |
355 |
494 |
616 |
758 |
915 |
1082 |
1255 |
1431 |
1609 |
1786 |
+0.5 percentage points per year |
355 |
574 |
789 |
1038 |
1317 |
1617 |
1932 |
2257 |
2591 |
2925 |
Figure 3. Projected population with high blood
cholesterol in Jordan from 2005 to 2050 according to 4 different projected prevalence variants. Figure generated by the authors using data from the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2) and Zindah
et al (5).
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|